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PANDA First Principles

PANDA First Principles

PANDA looks at the events that brought their modelling approach into the spotlight and how that has influenced their journey through the COVID-19 pandemic.

PandaCast | Why The WHO Was Wrong About Global Death Predictions

PandaCast | Why The WHO Was Wrong About Global Death Predictions

What is the Case Fatality Rate and the Infection Fatality Rate and how do they differ? Which data, published by the WHO, sent the world into Covid-19 lockdown and was that a reasonable choice? How accurate were governments’ models predicting COVID deaths in relation to actual deaths? PANDA explains CFR, IFR and takes a look at the current statistics for C-19 mortality.

Excess Deaths Oddities

Excess Deaths Oddities

The SAMRC report attempts to show that the coronavirus pandemic has led to almost 11,000 fatalities, more than three times the official death count. Our view is that this claim is false and that simple and logical adjustments to the data for known reporting issues cause the excess fatality number to align much more closely with recorded COVID-19 deaths.

The Epidemiologists Who Missed The Boat

The Epidemiologists Who Missed The Boat

In early February, a virus broke out on the Diamond Princess. Harrowing accounts began to emerge, but for those looking at the data, the cruise ship represented a pot of gold.