Peter Castleden and Piet Streicher of PANDA unpack the modelling and predictions that PANDA made in 2020 with regard to the COVID-19 pandemic. This retrospective look at what PANDA got right and wrong in the predictions also provides insight into how the models are made.
ARTICLES
Panda Videos
PANDA First Principles
PANDA looks at the events that brought their modelling approach into the spotlight and how that has influenced their journey through the COVID-19 pandemic.
Podcast: Inside Covid-19: Vaccine race; PANDA goes global; pandemic damages
Nick Hudson on “Inside Covid-19” podcast for BizNews, talking about PANDA’s growth and the severe outcomes of lockdown.
ManPatria: Listen to Nick Hudson about the lockdown and its effects on the livelihoods people
“As the epidemic and our concerns about this story having been massively overblown turned out to be accurate concern, you know what was originally anticipated by the world health organisation back in March hasn’t even come close to being realised, that was the first thing that happened. The second thing that happened was that, the methods used to address the problem of coronavirus were not showing of having been effective”. Listen to Nick Hudson chat to the squad at ManPatria about the lockdown and its effects on the livelihoods people.
Navigating the Covid Live Data Feed | Global
PANDA’s Covid-19 Live Data Feed contains a wealth of global Covid-19 data. Ian McGorian takes the viewer through all the functions in detail.
How to use the Covid Live Feed | South Africa
The PANDA website hosts a comprehensive Covid-19 live data feed. This is a short tutorial by Ian McGorian, who created the dashboard, demonstrating how to get the most out of it with a specific focus on South Africa.
Viral Philosophy – Conversation with Nick Hudson on the “Artificial Creativity” Podcast
Nick Hudson, co-founder of PANDA—Pandemics Data and Analytics in a conversation with Dennis Hackethal, from the “Artificial Creativity” podcast about what is known about the virus and the disastrous effects of lockdown policies on people and businesses. They explore how bad epistemology and political philosophy lead to tangible harm in society, and how we *should* treat each other during this pandemic instead.
Dr Clare Craig explains COVID-19 Testing
Dr Clare Craig explains COVID-19 testing in light of the mass testing currently being carried out in Liverpool. Dr Craig highlights the difference between the PCR test used previously and the Rapid Test which is being used by the army for testing in Liverpool.
Biznews: Busting Myths about Cases
We must all be wary of a second wave being manufactured by increases in testing that are presented to us as an increase in cases. It is foolhardy to focus our attention on one disease alone instead of the overall impact of policy choices we make. When we do focus on one disease alone, we should certainly not focus on positive tests but rather on death and hospitalisation data.
Likely Consequences of the COVID-19 Lockdown
Likely Consequences of the COVID-19 Lockdown are highlighted by Ivor Cummins and PANDA’s Nick Hudson as they interpret the pandemic data. (24 min video version)